Russia’s missteps adds another year or two to our timeline
I put out this post to help us (me) try to predict how much time we have left. I have been encouraged with the recent problems Russia has faced in its attempt to subdue Ukraine, and this is not because I have any iron in the fire. Rather, Russia’s missteps have proven beneficial to us as this may mean we have more time to invest and prepare for what’s coming.
I also theorize that the CCP may wish to revisit its immediate commitment to advancing its military ambitions and commitment to Russia after it has observed Russia’s recent failures in Ukraine.
Sadly, while we may feel relief at observing Russia’s stumbling, this new assessment of Russian conventional military weakness only increases the potential of Putin choosing to use nuclear weapons (his big advantage over the West) in a large pre-emptive strike against US and NATO military bases and missiles to make up for his inability to beat the US and NATO conventionally.
Overall though, Russia’s problems with its conventional warfare tactics and planning have shown to many that Russia may not yet be properly equipped to take on the West in any meaningful way. From its underestimation of the impact in which Western sanctions are having on its economy to its blundering in Ukraine, I believe we can add another year or two with our timeline.
I also predict that this nascent wave of military spending by the three antagonists (Russia, China, U.S.) will help to inflate the global economy with a massive spending boom. Long live income-generating assets. If China and Russia wish to stimulate their economies, what better way than by increasing military spending? China continues to race to match the United States, and its only way is by spending hundreds of billions more.
I have to suspect that the central banks will rather let inflation rip than to subdue it and cause asset prices to deflate. At the end of the day, these central banks serve the asset owners and not the citizens. The citizens are only used to build the wealth and power of the already powerful.
Keeping perspective; Russia and China are only manufactured enemies
Ever wonder why the USD is still the global reserve. Look at the 2021 defense spending levels below for a clue. Watch as Russia and China spend more.
The United States ($778 billion)
China ($252 billion [estimated])
India ($72.9 billion)
Russia ($61.7 billion)
United Kingdom ($59.2 billion)
Saudi Arabia ($57.5 billion [estimated])
Germany ($52.8 billion)
France ($52.7 billion)
Japan ($49.1 billion)
South Korea ($45.7 billion)
The US spends more than 10x Russia, and the Anglo-American establishment is only feigning weakness when presenting China and Russia as our existential enemies. The Synagogue of Satan is our real existential enemy.
The secret weapons the US possesses will floor the world’s population; they are the stuff out of sci-fi novels. Unfortunately for us, they won’t be employed until many of us our dead after absorbing an initial offensive strike originating from China and Russia.
I have added a pdf file of Joel Skousen’s Russia/Ukraine analysis and commentary from yesterday’s World Affairs Brief for your reference, which conflates with my observations. You can download it here.REASSESSING THE RUSSIAN MILITARY THREAT
The only outlier in this timeline would be if Russia grows tired of its continual missteps in its conventional warfare route and literally decides to take the nuclear option out of frustration and expedience.