I offer a few observations and predictions for the US dollar

We see the USDX at a hair over 96, and above its longer-term average. The rate differentials regarding the United States debt versus the rest of the world, especially the developed world, is noted.

With Greece and Italy’s sovereign yields less than the United States comparable treasuries, the money continues to flood into the United States markets.

As long as the dollar is the reserve currency, the United States is afforded a great luxury in its borrowing and spending efforts.

Given the current circumstances and trajectories versus the other nations whose currencies comprise the USDX basket, it is likely that the US dollar index could touch 100 over the next year. At that point the FED will most likely begin to entertain scaling back its ambitions.

It seems interesting that the dollar index did not fall below 90 on any sustained basis, though it touched it twice. I note this action and wonder if there is official management at play to keep the major currencies within a certain trading band.

If all of this massive fiscal spending being proffered gets scaled back or delayed indefinitely, we could see a further confirmation of the one to two year trend until the dollar touches 100 on the USDX.

By its nature, the reduction of quantitative easing or even its contemplation of a reduction is dollar bullish, as global investors tend to need those dollars to repay debts.

The dollar is still king and only one set of circumstances is going to take it out. If a bunch of bumbling politicians in DC has no effect, nor do trillions of dollars in fiscal spending, the system still has legs.

Run, greenback, run!

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24 thoughts on “I offer a few observations and predictions for the US dollar

  1. Regarding the housing market; based on my anecdotal observations, the Winter market in my area has actually been somewhat robust in price support. I suspect that the spring selling season will be a good one for sellers. I think bond yields will remain subdued and thus, mortgage rates will be favorable for the buyer.

    Given the fact that many of the corporations are raising there minimum wages to 15 to $20 an hour, I still see some support on rent rolls, though I think the second derivative of the increases will drop quite a bit.

    1. Chris, $20 doesn’t feed but one person at McD’s anymore. After taxes $20 is $15 in the hand—barely 3 gallons of fuel. The average Joe and Jane haven’t recalibrated their instincts. A few years ago a $20 dollar bill was substantial. Now it’s a fiver.

      This latest omega edition of the coburg, it occurred to me, is good cover for central banks. These invisible, intangible, inchoate but never here threats camouflage their incompetency. I think the banks don’t know what to do and they need epic diversions.

      What do you think?

      1. This whole covid scam was an excuse to engineer one big societal financial rapefest. It is absolutely mind-blowing what these elites have been able to achieve with covid. I mean the level of wealth and power consolidation in only a couple years is unprecedented.

        It all starts with the wealth consolidation. From that, they can exert more control over everything else.

        Through fear, the average person has mentally shutdown and has been financially disenfranchised forever. Agenda 2030, here we come.

        David, please understand that these bankers are not incompetent. They are not only geniuses, but have convinced the ZH reader that they are only buffoons making one mistake after another.

        Why does every mistake go against the common man? That’s because these bankers are not making mistakes, and they are not incompetent. They are carrying out a well thought-out plan, and only construct a facade of foolishness to mollify the masses.

        The public personalities in the banking cartel are there to get hit with rotten tomatoes by ZH readers, while the financial raping to the ZH readers and critics of the central banks is conducted in broad daylight.

  2. For any newcomer to the site; unless you have had your own personal “road to Damascus,” you will not understand what we discuss openly and freely.

    I had mine on December 8th, 2003.

  3. Chris,
    I wish you a Merry Christmas and a happy new year. Your website has been a lifeline and lifesaver during these tough times. We remnants are being isolated and ostracized by those around us as they succumb to the Jim Jones cult. It is not just the vaccine segregation but many people around me are succumbing to Satan’s lies and propaganda on many issues. Your website provides an outlet and discussion forum for those isolated Christians who actually think critically. I have followed your blog since 2014 but never participated until this year as I see people around me going off the cliff like thoughtless lemmings. I thank you from the bottom of my heart for providing such a forum. I also appreciate your economic insights as they have proven to be most accurate and helpful. At this point I like to hear things as they are not as I wish them to be. Your insights have proven to be well grounded. I also appreciate your Christian studies and belief in the bible. It is very rare to find Christian believers who are economically grounded. As a Christian, I don’t see any wrong in taking advantage of opportunities. Once again, Thank You for everything.

    1. I wish everyone on this blog a very Merry Christmas. Everyone has contributed very thoughtful and informative discussions on this site that make us think.

  4. 50% of the western population will submit themselves and be implanted with a subdermal microchip by the end of 2024. They will be promised free reign to move about as they please and to board planes without being harassed. Their employers will welcome them with open arms.

    They will view the other 50% was complete disdain. If your spouse gets chipped and you don’t he or she will hate your guts. If you think family members are at odds with one another now, just wait another two years as the people begin to die off because their immune systems have gone haywire or have completely failed. They will blame the unvaxed and will wish the people who remain unjabbed that they would die.

    It will be considered an implanted vaccine passport. You will soon then have your driver’s license and credit information uploaded to it and freely available on the new system. It will track and Trace wherever you go. The worst fallout from taking this implant is that the people will damn their souls.

    1. Excellent and timely observations Chris! We are truly living in the last days. God bless you brother!

      Gary.

  5. If you are still supporting Donald Trump, you should be ashamed of yourself. He is the most disingenuous scumbag out there.

    1. Trump gave us Dr. Fauci.

      Trump gave us the lockdowns.

      Trump gave us these gene therapy jabs.

      Trump gave us the ever growing trade deficits versus China and he came out as anti-Chinese.

      Trump’s special purpose acquisition company merger is being funded with massive Chinese money.

      Trump brags about how he conducts so much of his business with Chinese investors and the Chinese government.

      Trump maligns the American educational system and praises the Chinese version.

      Trump says the Chinese politicians are much better than the American ones.

      Is Trump truly a person who wants to make America great again?

      Go MAGA!

      1. So true Chris. Trump is not the angel that conservatives think he is. The only person you can count on is Jesus Christ. Put your trust in God not people.

        1. John 15:18-21.

          It’s hard to continue doing the daily routine and analyzing the markets. For what would it matter if a man gain the whole world and lose his own soul. I continue to analyze, as it gives me a deeper understanding of the agenda and a more precise prophetic vision. But as each day goes by I find it more and more distasteful.

          1. We also find it difficult to continue with our daily routine, but we must. Abraham, Isaac, and Jacob were cattlemen and worked and were productive their entire lives. To not work is to succumb to physical sloth which leads to the worst form of sloth being Acedia – spiritual sloth (possibly the goal of UBI programs).

            We are in the food business, this time of year particularly is very busy – special requests and large orders just prior to Christmas eve but now its over and it feels so uneventful. We do celebrate Christmas and honor the birth of Christ but we do so quietly, with a meal made from scratch and just our close family. No gifts, no fanfare, no decorations etc. – the entire season just feels so contrived and the leadup with supplying parties and dinners is madness. I think about Amos:

            21 I hate, I despise your feast days, and I will not smell in your solemn assemblies.

            22 Though ye offer me burnt offerings and your meat offerings, I will not accept them: neither will I regard the peace offerings of your fat beasts.

            23 Take thou away from me the noise of thy songs; for I will not hear the melody of thy viols.

            24 But let judgment run down as waters, and righteousness as a mighty stream.

            25 Have ye offered unto me sacrifices and offerings in the wilderness forty years, O house of Israel?

            26 But ye have borne the tabernacle of your Moloch and Chiun your images, the star of your god, which ye made to yourselves.

            Amos is referring to this time of year, Saturnalia. Chiun is the star god Saturn, also referenced in Acts 7:43. I also despise this festival, the music, the food and the parties. All fake. I wait to see what this years conclusion of Saturnalia, the parade of fools (January 6th) brings.

            What else can we do but persevere.

            1. Chris I know yous said everyday is Jesus day and I agree, but what time frame, or month would you put the birth of Jesus, and should we also acknowledge, celebrate and worship on that day?

              Some say September 11th would be a more accurate date for the birth of Jesus, which would explain why the adversary uses that date and number. The bible doesn’t list the exact date just there was a celestial event which can actually be dated. For those that celebrate on December 25th, Merry Christmas!

              1. I know I will ruffle some feathers, but based on the description of Bethlehem at the time of Jesus’ birth, I would have to say it was sometime in mid to late September or early October. Plus, in regards to the birth of John the Baptist, who from what I remember he was six months older than Jesus, and I think he was born in the Spring.

                Of course, I’m just going off memory and writing this extemporaneously. I could be wrong.

                But I go along with Christmas, because that’s where the hearts of the many are drawn.

                It’s okay, and I don’t make a fuss about dates. I know a lot of people make big deals about this type of stuff, but I don’t fuss it.

                1. Aligning with your point, some have speculated that 9/11 is actually Jesus Christ’s birthday.

      2. Merry Christmas to Chris and to all fellow readers of his blog!

        …To counter the prevailing black-pilled mood, here’s a few observations which point that not all is lost yet:

        Re: Trump
        Trump showed everyone that voting in both state and federal elections is pointless. Therefore, it is no longer necessary “to support” Trump (or anyone else). The competing elite factions with power to rig these elections will decide who gets elected and what agenda will be promoted. There are signs that the NWO-aligned elite is not the only game in town. The latest sign is killing of the BBB bill by Sen. Manchin. Obviously some group is behind him. The other sign maybe the FED tapering of QE. Ultimately our goal is not to support any political candidate, but to survive and hopefully prosper under the circumstances.

        Re: the upcoming microchipping
        Whoever is pushing the vax agenda, they are currently both killing and maiming a (relatively) large number of innocent (if stupid) people and are setting up every single enforcer of these mandates for Nuremberg 2.0. These are just simple cold facts which cannot be refuted. One can speculate as to the real goal of the vax agenda being the eventual elimination of the 20% of the refuzniks, (and it could well be the case), but for now this is not at all what they are doing. One can also argue that the Controllers will simply never invoke Nuremberg 2.0 against the army of their own enforcers, (and it could well be the case), but that option will definitely be there for them. Right now the most likely goal of the vax agenda would appear to be the removal of the existing government structures and institutions (by making them complicit in what is essentially a mass murder event).

        We don’t have to take the most negative view of the future just because such a future a merely possible. There are definitely other outcomes which are even more probable at the moment.

        Merry Christmas!

        1. Sen. Manchin conveniently comes around and stops all this fiscal madness dead in its tracks. I find it hard to believe that is was caused by an old white cracker.

          I suspect that the powers needed to end the madness, lest they blow up the system.

          This is great news for us, as we have some more time to do stuff. The news of this dead spending bill is an ironically favorable outcome for the disenfranchised poorer folk.

          For those with the assets, it’s a mixed bag. Lower inflationary outcomes, along with a lower GDP trajectory could cap the wild asset price and rent growth we have seen since early last year.

          However, lower bond yields will put a floor under asset prices.

          As for the previous supporters of Trump I continue to be amazed at the wilful ignorance of their stance.

          People like AJ and Skousen claim that Trump is just foolish to continue to supports gene therapy jabs. They think he is still open to reason, however. These people, especially AJ, must be doing the work of someone else, because only a fool would continue to support him. Trump’s true pro-China stance is noted as a huge contradiction to his MAGA.

          Trump is laughing at and mocking his supporters. AJ still to this day says that Trump is a good man, but that he doesn’t support Trump’s jab stance.

          Judas goats left and right

      3. Fauci was in before Trump. Trump tired to get rid of him.

        As far as China; no one could stop the dragon at this point. It’s been too late for many years.

        Not supporting Trump but just be honest.

    2. Amen to that. Down with cheeto jesus as he implores you to take the jim jones juice.

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